Here's one (my own) rankings sites Dutch auction
BidOoo - Excellent, just born, but already with great prizes. Certainly stands out from all others for transparency and customer service. By joining you receive € 2 for tips and 1 Package info, very useful. The site wants to demonstrate all its clarity and seriousness in fact often the public who are their vendors at http://www.bidooo.com/merchant.html . Invite a friend
receive € 4 bonus (when he will make his first episode). Among
expires 23 days an 'auction to win a MINI Cooper Convertible.
VOTE 8.0 - Go to Site
BidLife - Definitely one of the best, just born, with few subscribers, and therefore, great chance of winning . By registering you will receive 20 credits and another 20 for every friend that report. Currently the site has a small number of auctions per day, but the odds of winning are certainly more than popular sites. The cost of the bet depends on the value dell'oggeto for grabs from 10 to 20 credits (1 credit = 1 €). In some auctions are also rewarded the second and third place.
RATING: 7.5 Go to Site
BidSuite - Great site, by registering you have 5 free credits. On this site you can participate in the classic Dutch auction, auctions, but also in time, where those who "has possession" for longer than an object if it wins. Now as objective in this auction is a T-Max scooter. With 10 € you buy 22 credits. The cost of the auction depends on the value of the prizes. Possibility of buying packages of info at low cost. I highly recommend
RATING: 7.5 Go to site
YouBid - Excellent, this little known but very interesting auction (at the time of writing is to win a Ducati Monster). Besides the classical rod downward can join auction "Live", where wins are wins for as long as an object (see full explanation on the site). For some items are sold free information packet.
RATING: 7.0 Go to Site
BidandClick - certainly the best of its kind, fabulous prizes .. but unfortunately infested with professional players. Now there's even giving away a Mini Cooper. The costs of the games vary depending on the object for sale, ranging from 100 to 200 credits (1 credit = 1 €) ... Ideal if you are or want to become professional players .. If you want to bet best bet occasional articles low value to have any hope of winning.
RATING: 7.0 Go to Site
People lesser-known Dutch auction sites ..
(quidni and more likely to win)
Technical Analysis (edited by Piero Tofy )
The first time I heard about Dutch auction did not want to believe that there are fools who sold a Porsche for a few tens of euro and electronic devices such as I-Pods and PlayStations by the value of several hundred to a few euro cents. Curious, I gathered information on their page http://www.bidplaza.it/t_contact.php about the operation of this idea mangiasoldi of the century. Briefly summarized, the big idea is that yes, you can actually buy an item for a few cents if your bid is unique (there are other people who have offered your number) and the lowest (all bid lower your were taken from two or more people). Piccolo specifically: to bid you must pay a "commission", which at the time of writing Bidplaza is equal to 2.00 € Where is the gain for the owners you ask?
Let's take a sample:
- A 16 GB iPod Touch costs the market price of about € 400.
- Bidplaza is able to cover the cost of the item with only 200 bids ( 200 * 2 = 400 )
It follows therefore, that an object that has received NO bids produces a gain (or loss, but it a case that never seems to have occurred because there seem to be many people who tempts an iPod Touch 2 €) equal to (N - 200) * 2 . Just say you? Read on.
I tried to register for the note on http://www.bidplaza.it and I tried to do some bet, even with the bonus of 4.00 € inviting who is given to the registration . The result was the following:
"At least I only offer a good idea, pity it is not the lowest" I thought. Then I tried to play with other objects and doing less deals sopprattutto (every click of the mouse corresponds to a charge of € 2.00 !), The outcome was more or less the same.
looked deeper into the site and there was something I fell to my eye:
"Winners recurring
seemed that there were more people kissing by luck than others. Full-HD TV, iPod, Porshe, Mobile ... hypotheses were two:
- These people were extremely fortunate (something which I believe and just as I will show later this assumption is completely excluded)
- there is a technique that allowed these people to accapparrarsi auctions.
The question is ... as they did?
To answer this and other questions like "Bidplaza How much?" or "Is there a way to statistically reduce the chance of losing?" IDEAI Bidplaza Statistics ( http://www.pierotofy.it/pages/projects/project_365.html ). Bidplaza fact at the end of each auction to publish the results of each whole or partial, and based on that data, the program allows you to process the information interesting. I will not explain the details of how it works but I will only show results that product (however you are welcome to try the program yourself).
The first question that I wanted to get an answer was "Statistically, what are the items that I most likely to win?"
The result was fairly predictable:
0.463 = 1% chance of winning about 200, assuming that every other person is one and only one bid
The odds of winning were smaller in inverse proportion to the value of the object (the object is more, the lower was the chance to win).
The second question I asked myself was "Statistically, what earns Bidplaza for each object?"
A little 'stunned, I confirmed some of my suspicions:
The number of deals was so high that Bidplaza from the sale of an iPod Touch commercial value of 400, € 00 € 5059.50 drew well. Not to mention the offer of the tenderer.
The picture was clear: Bidplaza was making tons of money, some people lost money and a small circle of "more fortunate" rather win the property for a few euro cents. There was only
one more difficult question to answer: "How to win and enter this circle?"
worked for a while 'days of the program and created an internal statistical function can process the data on the bids of the previous items that identified the so-called deals "rare". Underlying this argument was the fact that the human being is a machine that responds to stimuli and that every choice we make is not purely random (like the lottery numbers for the lot). For example, every day we are bombarded with advertising telling us how much a particular object. It was obvious that - statistically - there was and a tendency to choose certain numbers over others.
After the work I tried to apply it on a Nintendo Wii at that time it was auctioned. The results were as follows:
I was suggested to bet € 2.20 and € 2.26. In addition to this it is interesting to note the slight preference to choose odd numbers over even numbers
I pointed these two figures and the results were interesting, my offer of € 2.26 at the end of the auction was unique - as calculated statistically - but it was not the lowest, in fact there were only two bids lower than mine. I tried again
with other objects but the results were equal to if not worse (azzeccai not even an offer). My question on how to become one of those "lucky" winners still remained unanswered. But not for long.
Having exhausted all other possibilities, the fact remained that perhaps these "lucky" players did many, many more deals of the casual player who tries his luck spending € 2.00 hoping to buy a car in a few tens of €.
Unfortunately, gentlemen, the truth is that there are players "professionals" on sites like BidPlaza that - mathematically - almost entirely exclude the possibility of occasional players win. Theory
easily demonstrated: take as an example once again our iPod Touch 16 GB worth € 400.00. Suppose one of these players "professionals" (rather call them "rabid") finds that spending € 200.00 (half) is an acceptable price for an iPod. Maybe then they can sell on eBay for full price and would get a revenue of € 200.00.
We know that you can buy at € 200.00 Bidplaza 100 bids. So he only is able to cover all bids ranging from 0.01 to 1.00 euro cents.
At the time of writing, a 16 GB iPod Touch on Bidplaza is priced at the weighted average 1.87 € and covering all the deals between € 1.00 and € 2.00 the author has probability 1 / 2 to win the object. Same thing can be done on the most precious goods such as TV Full-HD (where the price is around € 1700 and one of these players can be considered "acceptable" cost of 900 € = 450 deals) in order to win the object. Not to mention the fact that Bidplaza offers bonus offers proportional to the number of offers that you buy (plus loads more and you pay homage to the account). Taking into account that there Bidplaza on more than one of these players (which does not exclude the fact that even to agree, but this is only a guess) do some 'on you number of possibilities that you have, the player who pulls a single quote on an item to win.
This theory is confirmed by the fact that the findings of many auctions you may notice that near the winning bids are in sequence (there are no deals have not been played), signal that one or more players " professionals "have put a lot of offers (multiple offers on a range Bidplaza are made, I make an offer on the range from 1.00 euro to 2.00 euro thereby aiming at 1.01, 1.02 , 1.03, ..., 1.99, 2.00 in one shot).
This suggests that the only way to have any chance of winning is to focus on items whose value is not more than 100-200 euro, because these players do not have the reason to spend so much money on offer for an item that is cheap. In fact among the least expensive items there is a wide variety of winners.
You will say, "Well the car I like, I try the same, maybe not win but I have no chance to win anyway"
Wrong. The chance to win a Porsche or any good of high value in the presence of these players is zero (or almost).
Suppose you have a player "professional" that makes 100 offers, say from 0.01 to 1.00 euro.
This suggests that to win the good, imagine a hypothetical case in which there are more people doing other deals, we have to focus offers 100 + 1. The first 100 will be used to cancel bids of the professional player, the last to get a new lowest unique bid. So our minimum spending at the expense of player equivalerà "professional" + 2.00.
In one case, probably more real than many of those 100 bids will have been nullified by other occasional players (the union is strength), while unfortunate that you do not know what the other players have bet occasional forcing you to have to bet all and 100 deals for the safety of take down the good.
icing on the cake around the net I read several comments from people who spoke of "Being able to hold the lowest unique bid until a few hours or minutes before the end of the auction ; the reason because it is very simple. Aim at the last minute can prevent the one who had the lowest unique bid will start hunting for the new winning bid. No wonder then if your offer is canceled just before the auction ends.
you are wondering then, you can win on this site or not? The answer varies depending on your availability of cash:
- If you want groped luck from time to time by one or two bids for the subject Never point on high-value goods such as cars, TV, mobile phone or any thing of value exceeding € 100-200.
- If you have large amounts of money and are willing to risk, with a little 'accuracy in the selection of features and with a good dose of luck can be to focus on higher value goods.
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